Traders held positions ahead of the April core PCE release, which was expected to show 0.3% month-over-month inflation along with matching personal spending and income. The article also flags the upcoming ECB decision and US non-farm payrolls as key events for EUR/USD.
A surprise in US inflation data could move the dollar sharply, which affects dollar-denominated commodity prices and export competitiveness.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.