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LDC executives said global rice supplies have stabilized after the 2023 surge tied to India's export ban. They warned that El Niño-driven dry weather poses a risk to irrigated crops in key producing countries.
Stabilized supply lowers near-term price pressure, but El Niño dryness could tighten Asian output later in the year. Buyers should watch reservoir levels in producing nations.
After 31 past neutral weather events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.