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The Indian government is considering lifting restrictions on rice exports due to large surplus stocks and a forecast above-normal monsoon. A final decision is expected after assessing kharif paddy sowing progress, which begins in June-July.
Potential easing of Indian rice export curbs would add supply to the world market, which is bearish for rice prices, though the decision is still pending.
After 100 past bearish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.