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Argentina's central bank has bought over $17 billion of foreign currency since Milei took office on December 10 to rebuild reserves. The central bank needs dollars to pay creditors including the IMF.
Reserve rebuilding affects how quickly Argentina lifts export-related FX constraints, which shapes farmer selling of soybeans and meal; the effect on prices is indirect.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.