
Wood Mackenzie reports that European gas and LNG prices have risen recently on Russian supply risks, Norwegian field maintenance and rising Asian LNG demand. Chinese LNG imports rose 22% year to date and TTF is up 40% over three months, near US$11/MMBtu.
European storage is forecast to reach full capacity by late September.
High European gas prices raise nitrogen fertilizer costs and can squeeze European feed and processing margins. Forecast full storage and softer Asian demand would ease prices later in the year.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.