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Ukrainian feed barley prices at Black Sea ports rose to $160-165/t, above last year's start-of-season level of $130-140/t. Barley exports have slowed, and Romanian harvest has started with prices falling there.
Lower production forecasts in major exporting countries have slightly lifted demand.
Smaller barley crops in exporting countries support Black Sea prices, but early Romanian harvest pressure may push local values lower.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.