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The yuan strengthened sharply on July 25 after it had weakened to its lowest level since November the previous day. The move came after a series of Chinese easing measures that failed to lift confidence in domestic markets.
The author expects little scope for a yuan rebound until next year.
A firmer yuan lowers the cost of dollar-priced imports for China, which can support buying of feed commodities. Continued weakness in Chinese stocks and confidence could still limit demand growth.
thepoundhub.comAlanJul 25, 2024After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
