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Goldman Sachs expects yuan volatility to rise near term due to Federal Reserve rate-cut uncertainty and the November US presidential election. The bank said recent yuan appreciation is mostly driven by external factors, including changing market pricing for faster Fed cuts.
Heightened currency volatility makes importers hedge and delay purchases, which can slow China's feed grain buying around the US election period.
scmp.comRalph JenningsAug 30, 2024After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
