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Thai 5% broken rice rose to $580 per ton, its highest in two months, helped by a stronger baht. Floods in Bangladesh killed 23 people and are expected to hit crop production, and Bangladeshi prices stayed elevated.
Flood damage in Bangladesh and firmer Thai export quotes support Asian rice prices, though quiet trading limits the move.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.