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A Caixin analysis says the yuan regained all the value it lost against the dollar earlier in 2024 and neared 7 per dollar by September. It attributes the rebound to the People's Bank of China's July rate cut and shifts in capital returns.
Sustained yuan strength depends on capital returns rather than one-off stimulus, which affects how far Chinese import purchasing power can rise.
caixinglobal.comXu XiaoqingSep 30, 2024After 362 past bearish macro events, USDCNY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
