
US crude fell nearly 3% to below $68 after a report that Saudi Arabia is prepared to proceed with production increases in December even if prices stay low. Libyan output expectations also weighed on prices.
Expected supply growth from OPEC+ and Libya points to a looser crude market, which lowers energy input costs and reduces biofuel-driven support for vegetable oils.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.