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Hog slaughter over the last eight weeks was up only 0.05% year-over-year, far below the 4.3% increase implied by the September Hogs and Pigs inventory report. December lean hog futures rose about $6.29 since late September as a result.
Cash hog prices in September averaged $61.26/cwt, lower than the prior month.
Slaughter running below USDA-implied supply supports lean hog futures and suggests tighter near-term pork supply, a bullish signal for hog and feed demand expectations.
nationalhogfarmer.comRon PlainOct 28, 2024After 100 past bullish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
