
The People's Bank of China has kept its daily reference rate stronger than 7.2 per dollar since the US election to resist yuan weakness. The central bank set the fixing at a one-week high on Tuesday, pushing back against a selloff after Trump promised new tariffs on social media.
Analysts had expected Beijing to give way.
Beijing's defence of the yuan limits near-term currency pressure on Chinese import costs, which supports steady demand for US feed grains. The tariff threat itself remains the larger risk to trade flows and prices.
After 42 past neutral policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.