
The US dollar held firm as traders awaited details of Trump's proposed policies and questioned whether the Fed would cut rates as aggressively. The dollar index was near a one-year high of 107.07, and about 54% odds of a December Fed cut were priced in, down from 82.5% a week earlier.
A stronger dollar tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices and makes US exports less competitive. Expectations for slower Fed easing support the dollar.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.