
USDA data show US range and pasture conditions finished the May-October season with 51% rated poor or very poor, the highest of the year and well above last year's 37%. Ratings were worse in the Great Plains and Southern Plains, which pushed cattle off grass and into feedlots earlier than normal.
Feeder steer prices have held steady at roughly $250-280/cwt since the start of the year.
Poor pasture conditions push cattle into feedlots sooner, raising near-term grain demand while shrinking the grazing base. Poor pastures also support feeder cattle prices by limiting supply.
After 21 past neutral weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.1% to +2.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.