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Unconfirmed rumours in late October that China would announce tariffs on Canadian canola pushed futures down from two-and-a-half-month highs. Canadian canola exports to China have risen as buyers stock up.
Price swings driven by tariff rumours show how sensitive canola is to Chinese trade policy. Concrete measures would likely pressure prices lower.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.