
OPEC+ members meeting online postponed production increases that had been scheduled to start January 1, 2025. The unwinding process has been pushed back to April 1, 2025, and increases will be phased in over 18 months until October 2026.
The decision was taken amid weak crude prices.
A delayed supply return keeps crude tighter for longer than previously planned, supporting energy prices. Higher fuel and freight costs would ripple into feed ingredient prices.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.