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The Fed delivered a 25bp cut to 4.25%-4.5%, but its projections showed two cuts in 2025 rather than the three markets expected, with inflation forecasts revised up to 2.5%. Equities sold off on the hawkish tone after a strong year.
A slower easing path keeps the dollar firm and financial conditions tighter, which weighs on commodity prices and on import demand from dollar-borrowing emerging markets. Feed buyers face a stronger-dollar backdrop into early 2025.
ig.comYeap Jun RongDec 19, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
