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A Reuters commentary argues that Trump's measures to expand US oil and gas production may not quickly raise gas output. The piece notes that a policy shift alone may not change production levels in the near term.
Uncertainty about how fast US gas output can rise leaves natural gas supply expectations unsettled, which keeps energy price risk in place for feed costs.
After 13 past neutral policy events, Natural Gas moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -4.9% to +2.7%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.