APHIS confirmed a second New World screwworm case in a cow in Tabasco, Mexico, but said no additional action would be taken under the existing protocol. Cattle and bison imports from Mexico will continue.
Continued imports keep feeder supply flowing, but the spreading pest raises the risk of a future import halt that would tighten US feeder supplies.
After 29 past neutral disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 69 past neutral disease events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.6%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.