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US natural gas futures jumped about 8% on March 3 on record LNG export feed gas and forecasts of higher demand over the next two weeks. The article also notes Germany was not in talks on Nord Stream 2.
A sharp rise in gas prices lifts nitrogen fertilizer and processing energy costs for the feed chain. Higher forecast demand supports the rally.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.