
Canadian industry is considering domestic canola use as tariffs from China and the US threaten exports to two markets that took 87% of Canada's canola exports in 2024. China's 100% tariffs on Canadian oil and meal took effect March 20, and a Chinese anti-dumping probe on seed is ongoing.
Domestic renewable diesel projects such as Imperial Oil's Strathcona facility are cited as a possible outlet.
If canola is redirected to domestic biofuel and food use, export surplus could build and weigh on canola prices. Expanded domestic demand would partly offset lost trade volumes.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.