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Wheat opened mixed on Monday after Friday's losses, with May CBOT closing at $5.28 1/4. Speculators increased their net short in Chicago wheat to 92,587 contracts, and Argus trimmed its Russian 2025/26 wheat crop estimate by 1.2 MMT to 80.3 MMT.
A larger speculative net short and a smaller Russian crop estimate create mixed price pressure, with Russian supply cuts supportive but fund selling bearish.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.