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Rabobank says tight urea supplies and geopolitical factors are driving volatile global urea prices, which are expected to stay elevated in 2025. Key supply issues cited include Europe, Iran, Egypt and China.
Current prices are about 45% above the pre-Russia-Ukraine war five-year average.
Supply disruptions in major producing countries keep urea costly and volatile, raising fertilizer costs for farmers and feed producers. Natural gas price swings add further upside risk.
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