
OPEC+ agreed to accelerate oil output increases, nearly tripling the planned May increase, even as prices fell on Trump's tariff announcements. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan cut forecasts and raised recession odds.
Higher OPEC+ supply combined with tariff-driven demand worries points to lower crude prices, which pressures biofuel and vegetable oil values.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
It explains OPEC+ nearly tripling the May hike while Goldman and JPMorgan cut forecasts and raised recession odds, adding bearish sentiment.
OPEC+ accelerating output while Goldman and JPMorgan cut forecasts and raised recession odds reinforced the supply and demand bearishness.