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Ukrainian purchase prices for 50% oil sunflower seed are 26,500-27,500 UAH/ton, and some processors have halted operations on thin margins. Export bids for sunflower meal at Black Sea ports are low at 215-220 $/ton.
Sunflower oil bids rose slightly but did not track a 15% weekly jump in Chicago soybean oil.
Low export meal bids and idle crushing capacity signal weak meal demand, although reduced processing could tighten meal availability later.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.