OPEC+ panel meeting seen making no policy changes after surprise output hike

After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Oct 5, 2025Oil rises after OPEC+ hikes output less than expected | Reuters-2.7%
• Aug 8, 2018Iran says OPEC may need extraordinary meeting over output changes-2.5%
• Jun 27, 2025OPEC+ set to make another accelerated oil output hike for August, sources say | Reuters+2.1%
• Sep 28, 2025EXCLUSIVE: OPEC+ plans another oil output hike in November, sources say | Reuters-7.5%
• Sep 26, 2024OPEC+ set to go ahead with Dec oil output hike, sources say | Reuters-0.1%

After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Oct 5, 2025Oil rises after OPEC+ hikes output less than expected | Reuters-3.1%
• Aug 8, 2018Iran says OPEC may need extraordinary meeting over output changes-3.1%
• Jun 27, 2025OPEC+ set to make another accelerated oil output hike for August, sources say | Reuters+2.6%
• Sep 28, 2025EXCLUSIVE: OPEC+ plans another oil output hike in November, sources say | Reuters-7.3%
• Sep 26, 2024OPEC+ set to go ahead with Dec oil output hike, sources say | Reuters+0.5%