
The French Ministry of Agriculture estimates sunflower area at 674,000 hectares, down 10.7% from 2024, a third straight annual decline. USDA projects Ukraine's 2025/26 sunflower output at 14.4 million tons, up 11%, while Ukrainian sunflower meal exports fall 29%.
French rapeseed and soft wheat area is projected to rise.
A larger Ukrainian crop and a smaller French sunflower area point to more sunflower meal supply in 2025/26 than in the current year. That outlook could cap meal prices once the new crop is harvested.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.