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RaboResearch reports that pork prices have rebounded on tighter hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges. Trade flows are shifting as the EU and Latin America gain share amid US-China tensions.
The 90-day US-China tariff reduction may not fully offset added tariffs on US pork.
Tight hog supply supports pork and hog prices, while lost Chinese share of US pork may weigh on export-linked demand and expansion. Slower US sector investment limits longer-term feed demand growth.
porkcheckoff.orgMay 5, 2025After 85 past bullish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +4.5%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Tighter US hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges are supportive for hog prices, and the report came just before the move.
Pork outlook notes tighter hog supplies and US-China tariff reduction, a supply and trade-flow narrative that could support lean hog prices, though dated a week before the move.
