
Brazil's ethanol industry group Unem says Brazil could capture up to 7 million tonnes per year of China's DDG and DDGS market after a sanitary protocol signed May 13 opened the door. Brazil exported 1.02 million tonnes of DDG/DDGS in 2024/25, and its corn ethanol output reached 4.2 million tonnes.
Access to China would add a large new export outlet for Brazilian DDGS, potentially pulling supply away from other destinations and reshaping global DDGS pricing. The effect is still a potential future market rather than current flows.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.