
The dollar recorded its worst start to a year since 1973, according to a New York Times report dated June 30, 2025. The article links the decline to Trump's trade proposals, inflation worries and rising government debt.
It also cites slowly sliding confidence in the US role at the center of the global financial system.
A sustained dollar slide tends to lift dollar-priced commodities and improve US export competitiveness. Persistent currency weakness can also raise import costs for feed-importing countries.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.