◂ Event Timeline

Jun 30, 2025LOGISTICSUS

Cattle Futures May Have Difficulty Moving Higher

Live cattle equivalent index was $288.28 and lean hog equivalent $123.39 on June 30 per DTN. Futures rallied Friday on record equity markets and US-China trade agreements, while a strike began at the Tyson Amarillo plant.

WHY IT MATTERS

A plant strike can disrupt cattle slaughter and feeder demand, while cash cattle discounts to futures limit upside, so the net effect on feed demand is mixed.

AFFECTSLCATTLE◆FCATTLE◆

SOURCE
dtnpf.comRobin SchmahlJun 30, 2025

Price reaction & history

LCATTLE◆neutralSO FAR1d -0.9%5d -3.1%20d +1.7%

After 40 past logistics events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.4%), and -1.9% over 20.

Mar 23, 2020Cattle gridlock: EU border delays add to coronavirus strain on meat trade | Meat industry | The Guardian+1.6%
Jul 30, 2018New packing plant already looking to the future | Western Livestock Journal+0.5%
Jul 19, 2024Fight continues toward elimination of non-tariff barriers in beef processing | Farmtario+1.7%
Aug 15, 2024Container, equipment shortages, software issues delay US beef imports-1.5%
Jun 10, 2022Labour crisis looms as Pacific meat workers head home - Sheep Central+1.0%

FCATTLE◆neutralSO FAR1d +0.9%5d +1.9%20d +8.3%

After 22 past logistics events, FCATTLE moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.5% to +2.0%), and +2.2% over 20.

Jun 28, 2018CS Packers, One Year Later - Western Ag Reporter+4.7%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

LCATTLE · GP ▸

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FCATTLE · GP ▸

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