
South Australian and Victorian barley prices have cooled in recent weeks due to rain and increased grower selling. Analysts say Australian barley continues to diverge from weaker US corn, supported by domestic demand and Chinese buying, with China's 2025-26 barley imports forecast at 9.5 million tonnes.
Firm Chinese import demand supports Australian barley against lower CME corn, though grower selling pressure is capping near-term gains.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.