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A weekly rice roundup notes India's projected record 2025/26 harvest and rising Brazilian and Indonesian output, with oversupply weighing on export prices. Rio Grande do Sul paddy prices fell to levels not seen since February 2022 amid weak liquidity and reduced external demand.
Record Indian supply and falling Brazilian paddy prices reinforce downward pressure on global rice values and compete with US exporters.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.