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US biofuel policy updates have raised ethanol margins but have not supported the DDGS market, according to sources. The EPA proposal sets 2026 and 2027 volumes at 24.02 and 24.46 billion gallons, up from 22.33 billion in 2025, with much of the increase in biomass-based diesel.
Market participants remain cautious that higher ethanol output will add pressure to DDGS values already weighed by weak feed demand and limited exports.
Higher ethanol output means more DDGS supply into a market with soft feed demand, which points to weaker DDGS prices for feed buyers. Stronger ethanol margins support corn demand from crushers, but the co-product effect dominates for DDGS.
spglobal.comJun 20, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
