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Argus analysts say the Israel-Iran conflict is already disrupting fertilizer supply chains, including attacks on gas production facilities. Brazil's nutrient purchases for the 2025-26 soybean and corn crops are advancing, but product availability and Chinese phosphate policy are complicating the market.
Gas-related supply disruption and limited Brazilian product availability support nitrogen and phosphate prices ahead of the main buying season.
argusmedia.comJun 23, 2025After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
