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An Australian outlook forecasts the value of Australian crop production to fall 4% to A$50.7 billion in 2025-26 as output declines under expected drier conditions. It also expects crop export value and volume to fall but remain above the 10-year average, with world crop prices rising on tight global supply.
A smaller Australian crop and tight global supplies point to firmer wheat and barley prices, supporting feed grain costs for importers.
search.informit.orgDahl, Emily, Killalea, Tom, Winarta, Tirza, Kingsmill, Curtis, Ma, YileiJun 1, 2025After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
