Global potash prices were mixed in mid-July 2025, with Vancouver FOB MOP at $285-$327/ton and Northwest Europe at $302-$401/ton. Baltic/Black Sea prices were steady at $263-$305/ton, while Southeast Asia and Brazil held firm at $360-$380/ton CFR.
Russia and Belarus posted export growth in the first half of 2025.
Stable Baltic supply alongside firm import-market prices in Brazil and Southeast Asia suggests no immediate supply squeeze. Buyers in import-dependent regions should still expect firm CFR costs through the Brazilian planting season.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.