
Mexico's white corn output has fallen steadily, from 27 million tons in 2023 to 23 million in 2024, with an estimate of 21.7 million in 2025, a roughly 20% drop in five years. Domestic corn consumption is expected to reach 47.6 million tons in 2025, leaving the country reliant on imports for about half its grain.
A widening gap between Mexican corn output and demand keeps import needs high, supporting demand for US and other foreign corn and reinforcing export flows for feed grain buyers.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.