
The US dollar weakened on Friday with the dollar index near 97.70 after core PCE rose 0.3% m/m in July and 2.9% y/y, in line with forecasts. Fed funds futures implied an 89% chance of a September 25bp cut, and Governor Waller publicly backed easing.
A weaker dollar and firmer rate-cut bets tend to support dollar-denominated commodity prices and can lift demand from non-US buyers, while the macro backdrop shapes broader commodity sentiment.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.