
CME cattle futures fell on Monday, Aug. 25, as screwworm concerns and profit-taking pulled prices off the prior week's contract highs.
The US reported a first travel-associated human New World screwworm case, acquired in El Salvador, and October live cattle settled at 236.825 cents per pound.
Screwworm risk headlines add volatility, but tight supply and firm boxed beef keep the underlying cattle price trend supported for buyers.
After 70 past bearish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.0%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 46 past bearish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.6%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.