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USD/JPY fell to near 148.00 as the yen gained safe-haven demand amid fears of a partial US government shutdown. The dollar weakened for a third straight session ahead of the US JOLTS job openings data.
A weaker dollar on shutdown fears modestly supports dollar-priced US commodity exports, though the effect on feed prices is limited.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.