
Commerzbank says the Mexican peso has gained about 13% against the dollar this year despite conflicts with the US government. Markets already expect Banxico to cut by 25 bp to 7.5% and then two more cuts over six months.
The bank argues the peso is well supported and that the dovish outcome is largely priced in.
Persistent peso strength keeps dollar-denominated feed and ingredient imports cheaper for Mexican buyers, though weak growth and expected rate cuts could eventually reverse that support.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.