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The dollar was soft as a possible US government shutdown threatened to halt data releases, including the September jobs report. Traders priced 42 basis points of Fed easing by December.
A weaker dollar supports dollar-denominated commodity prices, while a shutdown that delays data adds uncertainty to Fed policy. The effect on feed markets is indirect and likely modest.
cnbc.comReutersOct 1, 2025After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
