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USDA cut its 2025/26 Ukrainian sunflower seed forecast by 800,000 t to 12.7 million t. Sunflower oil output was lowered to 5.3 million t and meal to 5.1 million t.
USDA also trimmed Argentina's seed crop and raised Russia's.
A smaller Ukrainian crop reduces Black Sea supplies of sunflower oil and meal. The cut partly offsets the larger Russian crop, leaving global oilseed balances moderately tighter.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.