
Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins said the administration will announce a plan next month to expand U.S. beef production, focused on opening more working lands. She ruled out payments to producers to retain heifers and cattle from slaughter.
Cattle and beef prices have soared due to historically low herd numbers and the closed Mexican border.
A plan to expand production would add supply over time, which is bearish for future cattle prices, and ruling out heifer-retention payments removes a short-term bullish supply tightening measure.
After 30 past bearish policy events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 24 past bearish policy events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.3% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.