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Stephens Inc. analysts expect reduced hatch rates and highly pathogenic avian influenza to create production issues for chicken and turkey supplies. Turkey prices have already risen sharply in 2025, with HPAI possibly culling 12 million birds this season.
HPAI losses and lower hatch rates tighten poultry supply, supporting turkey prices and modestly firming chicken. Chicken is still expected to remain the most affordable protein.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.