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Agri-Pulse reports that net farm income is projected to peak near $177 billion in 2025 and fall below $142 billion in 2026 without new aid. Two additional aid rounds are in development, including about $12 to $13 billion via USDA's Commodity Credit Corporation and a tariff-funded second round.
FAPRI projects flat commodity prices through 2031.
Government payments are holding up farm finances and supporting production, while the projected income drop could reduce planting and feed grain supplies later; flat price forecasts keep the near-term price effect limited.
agri-pulse.comPhilip Brasher, Oliver WardOct 15, 2025After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
