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The GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning, published 2 October 2025 with conditions as of 28 September, reports heavy rains and flooding disrupting crops in northern East Africa and favourable harvests in West Africa. Wheat in the Middle East, North Africa and Southern Africa is developing under generally favourable conditions, while Kazakhstan harvests were delayed by rain.
Mostly favourable conditions in major wheat and cereal areas point to adequate supply, which is mildly bearish for feed grain prices, though flooding in parts of Africa and Kazakhstan harvest delays add some localized risk.
cropmonitor.orgOct 2, 2025After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
