
Kenanga Investment Bank projects the ringgit will strengthen to about RM3.95 per dollar by end-2026, calling it a high-quality carry currency. The bank expects the Federal Reserve to begin easing in March 2026 and the dollar index to decline as yield differentials narrow.
A forecast of a firmer ringgit and a weaker dollar lowers the ringgit cost of dollar-priced palm oil and other Malaysian-linked commodities. This is a forecast, not a supply event, so the impact is limited.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.